| Line | Low | High | Lead time | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV block, 12–16 kW @ $2.00–2.50/W (small-commercial premium over NREL's $1.34–1.51/W utility benchmark) | $24k | $40k | with fab | search-only |
| Battery 40–60 kWh, UL 9540-listed, installed ($250–450/kWh; EG4 hardware alone ~$230/kWh) | $10k | $27k | with fab | search-only |
| Hybrid inverter (EG4 12kPV $3.5–4k verified; Sol-Ark 15K ~$6k) | $4k | $8k | stock | verified |
| BOS / electrical / integration labor | $15k | $30k | — | est |
| Fire compliance, screening, engineering | $3k | $8k | — | est |
| 20 ft container, delivered to LI (new one-trip) | $4k | $6k | days | verified |
| Site prep: pad + ADA-accessible route | $2k | $5k | 1–2 wk | est — needs LI quote |
| Connectivity: Starlink Business HW $2.5k (verified) + WiFi mesh | $5k | $7k | days | verified |
| Kiosk + compute (ADA enclosure; Jetson AGX $2k verified, or RTX ~$5k) | $5k | $11k | weeks | verified (Jetson) |
| Permits: building / electrical / fire / site plan | $3k | $8k | 2–4 wk (Islip) | est |
| Capex + 15% contingency | ~$86k | ~$173k | 3–5 mo total | |
| Turnkey alternative: BoxPower-class block ~$80–90k installed + fit-out, kiosk, siting ~$20–35k — vendor carries UL/permit risk | ~$110k | ~$150k | fab 4–6 wk | search-only — get the quote |
| Operations, 18 months | Low | High | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paid steward, 15–20 hr/wk (the month-37 line) | $25k | $50k | est $20–35k/yr |
| Insurance rider (Catholic Mutual, li-ion endorsement) | $3k | $9k | unverified — ask the Risk Manager |
| Connectivity ($250–500/mo Business) | $4.5k | $9k | verified |
| Maintenance reserve (~5% capex/yr) | $6k | $15k | est |
| Independent evaluation (the honest public report) | $10k | $30k | est — non-negotiable |
| 18-month opex | ~$48k | ~$113k | |
| ALL-IN 18-MONTH PILOT | ~$135k | ~$290k |
Compute honesty: a Jetson-class kiosk (≤60 W) is energetically free against a 12–16 kW array; an always-on RTX node (800–900 W from wall) is what reshapes the battery. We publish the energy budget; duty-cycled ≤1 kW compute is the design rule.
Not Long Island. LI has grid, broadband, and buildings; the container's three superpowers are answers to their absence. Candidate deployment shapes, pending the Caritas introduction — each is a parish archetype from our research, not a commitment: a clinic-anchored village node (vaccine cold chain + CHW decision support), a school-anchored node (the Ghana-tutor evidence base, offline library), a market-town node (power + connectivity + trade knowledge). Selection follows the partner, not our map.
CCLI/diocesan mission office → Caritas/CRS; the bishop's blessing of the sending.
Parish twinning is an established practice: LI parishes fund and accompany a named community's node.
Assemble and test here (vocational-ed partnership, local jobs), deploy there. And Track A's software pilot, if validated.
| Item | What gates | Owner | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYS fire code §1206 (BESS) | Li-ion >20 kWh requires product-carried UL 9540 listing + UL 9540A fire-test report; 10 ft separation (3 ft with 1-hr barrier); NFPA 855 siting | Vendor spec (us) | verified |
| DRVC property sign-off | Post-bankruptcy Chancery/Real Estate path is non-public; pilot likely under the $750k canon threshold but bishop-level authorization still governs. CCLI's separate 501(c)(3) incorporation is the clean route | Diocese | unverified — ask |
| Catholic Mutual underwriting | Li-ion is an elevated-hazard class; rider/exclusion/indemnity terms internal | Diocesan Risk Mgr | unverified — ask |
| Zoning: container as permanent accessory structure | Site-plan review + screening typical on institutional land; variance risk is town-specific | Town + us | search-only |
| PSEG-LI interconnection (SGIP) | Pre-app report 10 business days ($750 fee band); Fast-Track determination ~15 business days at ≤25 kW-AC | Us | verified |
| Prevailing wage (NY §224-d) | Triggers at ≥1 MW AC — not on capacity here; watch the funding structure (public-works vehicles can trigger §220 independently) | Us + counsel | verified |
| ADA kiosk + route | Reach 15–48 in, 30×48 in clear floor, accessible route from parking — vendor-spec'able | Vendor spec | search-only |
The honest bottom line: the physics and permits are routine; the two things that can actually stop this pilot are inside the diocese (property sign-off, insurance). That is why they are move #2, week one, not a discovery in month four.
| Metric | Why it proves scaling | Cadence |
|---|---|---|
| Learning outcomes: pre/post assessments in the tutored tracks (math, ESL, digital skills), benchmarked against the Ghana +0.37 SD result | The primer claim — the only claim with RCT-grade precedent, so we measure it like one | Term-over-term |
| Session hours & return rate: unique learners, repeat %, language split, program mix | A commons is proven by people coming back | Monthly, public |
| Corpus contributions: locally authored/corrected entries, native-speaker reviews, oral histories; % of corpus that is local | The ownership claim made measurable — users becoming builders | Monthly |
| Human-escalation count & resolution | AI assists, humans decide — measured, not asserted | Monthly |
| Uptime %, kWh served; outage events supported (the bonus row) | Infrastructure claim by meter; resilience logged when it happens | Monthly / per event |
| Cost per learner-month; steward hours by task; month-37 fund accrual vs covenant | The unit economics + sustainability a funder or Caritas would scale on | Quarterly |
| Trust pulse + incident log (zero-tolerance: data, safety, child protection) | License to operate; safe-environment compliance is inherited from diocesan protocols, day one | Quarterly / continuous |
Everything above goes into a public 18-month report, failures included — the deliverable that earns (or honestly forecloses) the pattern offer to Caritas and the dicastery. Independent evaluator is budgeted; we do not grade our own homework.
| Cadence | Pilot phase (months 0–6) | Steady state (target, month 7+) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | Docent-steward: open/close, run the program calendar (after-school, ESL evening, senior morning), assist learners, log anomalies | Same calendar, steward-led with trained volunteers |
| Weekly | Jeff + steward: telemetry review, corpus review board (new local contributions vetted by the parish council's content committee), snag list | Steward-run checklist; remote telemetry review |
| Monthly | Public metrics post; parish council review; vendor preventive check (first 3 months) | Public metrics post; council review |
| Quarterly | Evaluator visit incl. learning assessments; funder report; one storm drill/yr (before Jun 1) | Same; annual Catholic Mutual inspection |
| Exception | Response |
|---|---|
| Battery fault / thermal alarm | Auto-isolate (BMS) → steward evacuates pad clearance → FD if alarm class requires → vendor service; log + public incident note |
| Storm activation | Steward + parish declare storm mode; priority ladder governs loads (med refrigeration first); Storm Mode board runs check-ins; CCLI notified |
| Kiosk misuse / content complaint | Steward pauses kiosk; complaint to parish council within 48h; content change logged publicly |
| Injury on site | 911 + parish protocol; Catholic Mutual claim; independent review before restart |
| Theft / vandalism | Police report; insurance; restore from spares reserve; siting/screening review |
| Data concern (kiosk) | By design nothing leaves the kiosk; any allegation → pause, independent inspection, public finding |
| Steward unavailable / role vacates | Parish backup keyholder (named in governance memo); 30-day refill target; escalation to CCLI |
Pilot-phase intensity is deliberately ≫ steady state: the pilot's job is to burn down unknowns and write the runbook a second parish could pick up.
| N | What it proves | What it cannot |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Operating model, demand, trust, unit economics, the runbook | Federation, transferability, no-critical-node, corpus network effects |
| 2 | The runbook transfers; hub-to-hub corpus exchange works | One link is not a topology; one failure is an anecdote |
| 3 | A real mesh: divergent local corpora re-converging (measure propagation time of a vetted improvement); deliberate node-kill test with the other two carrying; governance replication beyond one heroic pastor; the three primer audiences compared | — enough to write the Caritas pattern honestly |
Staged, gated: fund node 1 now; nodes 2–3 release at the month-9 gate (thresholds published in advance: unique learners, return rate, corpus contributions, incident-free operation). Nodes 2–3 are cheaper (~$110k each: shared engineering, code-light sizing, runbook amortized). Program envelope: ~$600k to a 3-node network + 24-month federated report. The month-9 gate is real — if the commons doesn't earn its people, we publish that and stop.
Provenance. Figures and statuses from research/07-pilot-logistics.md (compiled 2026-07-14) over lanes 01–06; receipts with fetch status in research/_SOURCES.md. Known unknowns are labeled, not hidden: the two diocesan gates, NY-Sun LI block status, LI storage $/kWh, site-prep quote, and the turnkey quote itself. Companion documents: the deck · funder brief · demonstration suite. DRAFT — not for external distribution before 2026-07-23 and Jeff's read.